Jobs report

jpl458

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303,000 New jobes were added in march. A number which was reporting as Whopping, although all those jobs were not at Burger King. Not bad for failing Presidency.
 
Let's wait to see how many old jobs get terminated now that California, a Liberal Democratic state, has a $20/hour minimum wage that even covers fast-food workers.
 
Yup, coming to a town near you.
 
Yup, coming to a town near you.
I know, crime is down, jobs are up, stocks at an all time high, (except for DJT) and there are no migrants in my bushes.
 
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Just the tip of Biden's economic iceberg

"99 Cents Only will be closing all of its stores as the company announced plans to wind down its business operations.
The company, which was founded in 1982, operates 371 stores across California, Texas, Arizona and Nevada.
On Thursday, the company officially announced plans to close down, citing financial difficulties stemming from the pandemic, changing consumer demand, and rising inflation."

14,000 employees could be affected. I wonder if those employees feel better off under Biden?:unsure:
 

Ford to lose $3 billion from EV sales to consumers this year

 
Based on continued increasing credit card debt, consumers are spending more than they earn. At some undefined future point, consumers will eventually run-out of credit and will no longer be able to spend. A recession may then materialize.
The fact that the economy, today, appears like it is doing well, could be considered an illusion since it is being financed by debt.
"Credit card delinquencies, the amount of time in which cardholders fall behind in making payments, also increased. The percentage of card delinquencies 90 days or more rose to 6.4% from 4% in the fourth quarter of 2022."
The increases in card debt show higher financial stress "especially among younger and lower-income households,” said Wilbert van der Klaauw, a Fed economic research adviser, the Associated Press reported.
"Nearly one-tenth of credit card users find themselves in 'persistent debt' where they are charged more in interest and fees each year than they pay toward the principal," the bureau said.
 
303,000 New jobes were added in march. A number which was reporting as Whopping, although all those jobs were not at Burger King. Not bad for failing Presidency.

Too bad 303,000 willing workers weren't added.

Our problem these days isn't unemployment, nor is U/E a useful metric any more. It's labor participation.
 
303,000 New jobes were added in march. A number which was reporting as Whopping, although all those jobs were not at Burger King. Not bad for failing Presidency.


Not good for a failing presidency.
 
Here's the labor participation rate. The country fell apart in 2020 over the COVID shutdowns. Those were mostly full time jobs lost. They are gradually coming back as part time jobs. They aren't "new" jobs. They are old jobs that are now part time and pay less so you need several. the 300,000 number doesn't account for which are part time and how many people hold multiple part time jobs.

Notice that the labor participation rate has been in decline since the crash of 2008. It started coming back gradually during the Trump administration until COVID stopped the growth.


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Here’s where the jobs are for March 2024 — in one chart
Headlines may be glowing, but that glow can be blinding the reader as to what is really happening with the economy. A deeper dive is necessary. I won't be doing that, but I will be offering some generalized speculative thoughts based on the chart contained in the report above.

Manufacturing showed no job creation for March 2024. Job growth in manufacturing would be a key element to GDP growth. Data for one month does not mean much, but the lack of growth in this sector implies that the US economy is not producing more. That is subjectively bad news.

Health care + social assistance shows significant job growth, but is it really job growth that adds to the GDP or is it new jobs created by federal deficit spending that is not really a reflection of supply vs. demand. To translate, the federal government is artificially creating these jobs to provide "unnecessary" services. As a subjective example, providing unjustified services to illegal immigrants. These services may not be enhancing the economy.

Construction shows job growth that would help with GDP growth. However, like health care, how much of this growth is artificial in the sense that it is being funded by deficit federal spending?
 

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