Trump Administration Predictions (4 Viewers)

[AccessBlaster]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1908891192596832597

 

[RogerCooper]

In this limited sense, I will agree. However, that statement glosses over the real problem. The unelected bureaucrats were MAKING NEW RULES while running the country because Congress has de facto abdicated their role in law- and rule-making. The repeal of the Chevron Deference Doctrine was an important, even necessary, first step to stopping the violation of "Separation of Powers" - but the next step requires Congress to rise to the challenge and not get bogged down in distractions. As long as virulent forms of TDS remain, that won't happen.

I am glad to see that you support the separation of powers. The legislative branch makes the laws, the judicial branch interprets the laws and the executive branch executes the laws. A conservative legal group has sued to overturn Trump's unconstitutional arrogation of law-making power. You can check out the details at https://nclalegal.org/press_release...gency-tariffs-that-congress-never-authorized/ and make a contribution.

 

[Mike Krailo]

That was one of the biggest short squeezes I have ever seen in the market. They were buying back their positions at market prices and got demolished on positive tariff news. There will likely be some re-testing of the lows, but that was a killer move in the market.

 

[RogerCooper]

That was one of the biggest short squeezes I have ever seen in the market. They were buying back their positions at market prices and got demolished on positive tariff news. There will likely be some re-testing of the lows, but that was a killer move in the market.

What are you talking about? In a short squeeze, the price of a stock goes up as the short-sellers need to cover their positions. Stocks have been gone down substantially. Short-selling can have a significant effect on an individual stock, but it does not have a significant effect on the market overall.

 

[Mike Krailo]

What are you talking about? In a short squeeze, the price of a stock goes up as the short-sellers need to cover their positions. Stocks have been gone down substantially. Short-selling can have a significant effect on an individual stock, but it does not have a significant effect on the market overall.

Guess you never traded the futures before. SPX, NASDQ (NQ's), and the Dow all had a tremedous amount of short interest in it. This is the first of many wild moves that surely will happen if we go back down again. Could be a dead cat bounce, but I think it happened off of positive tariff news. I like the NQ's but the benchmark is the SPX.

 

[RogerCooper]

Guess you never traded the futures before. SPX, NASDQ (NQ's), and the Dow all had a tremedous amount of short interest in it. This is the first of many wild moves that surely will happen if we go back down again. Could be a dead cat bounce, but I think it happened off of positive tariff news. I like the NQ's but the benchmark is the SPX.

I have you put your money on a bet that tariff increases will cause the market to go up? I pulled my 401K out immediately, limiting my losses.

Do you have any evidence that the losses were driven by short-sellers?

 

[Mike Krailo]

Do you have any evidence that the losses were driven by short-sellers?

Lot's of experience trading. The VIX is at very high levels, so the market moves can be dramatic. The short sellers at least in the futures market that got short on day one and two last week are safe at the moment. The one's that are playing todays game or tightened up their stops got the market moving rapidly in the other direction when some positive news came out. Yes, it could be new buyers like me, but there were way more short sellers than buyers today (it's called old business from Friday). They contributed greatly to the bounce that occurred in the first hour of trade today. The really serious shorts will attempt to drive the market down multiple times, until they cannot anymore. Then all that old business will get demolished just like it almost always does. If they are correct in their assessment, then we end at the lows or lower.

Baring any bad news, I think we end up pretty big on the day. What happens tomorrow, I have no idea.

 

[RogerCooper]

What was the positive news?