Trump Administration Predictions (1 Viewer)

[Steve R.]

Trump is an entrepreneur, a salesman, and a disrupter. He is currently advertising several products for sale on the TV.
Given that, what are the chances that the inauguration may have commercial breaks to advertise Trump paraphernalia for sale?
After all we do have commercials for sports games such as football.

 

[The_Doc_Man]

what are the chances that the inauguration may have commercial breaks to advertise Trump paraphernalia for sale?

The news media will sometimes cover events and have commercials before or after some segment. If so, I can imagine that whatever group sells the Trump tchochke could legally buy a spot.

 

[Pat Hartman]

Congress doesn't take the money from SS, they borrow it. Big difference. It's one of those innumeracy things.

Actuaries are usually realllllly good at their jobs and get paid the big bucks. They calculate what needs to be contributed NOW and over time in order to provide a certain benefit at a later date. Unexpected blips in birth rates that last more than a year or two can create temporary windfalls and shortfalls. The Baby Boom was the largest of the blips we've ever seen. WHILE IT WAS HAPPENING, the actuaries knew full well that the piper would need to be paid but it wasn't until the 80's that the public became aware of the issue. There have been at least three PERMANANT fixes to ensure that there was enough money in the SS "fund" to cover the shortfall (payouts exceeding current income) when the time came. But, none of that money is actually "saved". There is absolutely NO reason that the first fix didn't actually fix the problem. We should never have needed TWO MORE. The actuaries knew the goal and calculated what needed to be collected so what happened? The excess money collected has gone into the general fund since the seventies and that means that the SS payments aren't coming from some lockbox as was envisioned, SS payments come from the general fund and the amount being collected every year from current contributions will no longer cover the payments in a few years. But, if Congress hadn't stolen my money, the excess the IRS collected to cover the projected shortfall should be coming from the lockbox but the lockbox is empty.

The Baby Boomers are now starting to die off. I am at the bleeding edge of the boom which lasted about 10 years. You should all be asking the government if they are planning on reducing current contributions by you youngsters when the blip is gone. The idea of SS was that the population would grow over time so that once the system was flowing, there would "always" be more current contributors than people at the end of the line collecting. The Baby Boom after WWII upset that ratio for a limited period of time and the excess contributions we were all asked to make since the 80's was supposed to stop the problem. Congress stole the money so we are currently in the bubble. All the Baby Boomers should currently be collecting SS and we don't have quite enough current contributors to cover the outflow. How is that my problem? Why are we not docking the pay of the Congress who created the problem?

 

[Pat Hartman]

Reducing the government work force will shrink the economy. I know you can't understand that concept, but it is a fact.

It will be painful but it needs to be done. It would have been far better if Congress had never let it get so out of control. Hopefully, Musk and Ramaswamy can work out a reduction cycle that will allow for a more graceful winding down of the departments that need to be cut. Importing tens of millions of illegal aliens has exacerbated the problem. There are way to many (by millions) of low wage workers so there will be no soft landing for most of the government workers.

 

[The_Doc_Man]

There are way to many (by millions) of low wage workers so there will be no soft landing for most of the government workers.

And if I may throw in a comment I hope you will find relevant, the way that "liberal education" has worked means we don't have enough S.T.E.M. graduates to fulfill current and projected needs. Which is another reason why we HAVE so many low-wage workers.

 

[Pat Hartman]

We are also importing STEM workers when we should be hiring our own college graduates. This actual practice started back in the 80's when I was managing teams across the country for a large consulting firm. They would scoop up H1b visas so they could hire cheap foreign labor and then rent them at American wage levels Huge instant profit. Ran to at least $30 per hour per worker. At the time, US people were being paid $25 per hour and the client was paying $80. The US people were also getting benefits so their fully burdened rate was closer to $40 per hour. The H1b's were being paid ~ $10 with NO benefits. And that was 5 times what they were earning at home so they were happy. They were here temporarily and were living 4 to an apartment to save on expenses and sending as much as they could home.

Certainly not illegal but far from fair to American workers especially since the H1b law specifically prohibited undercutting American wages. My company's practice was to place very specific job requirement ads in local papers for $10 per hour. We got no takers so we filled the slots with H1b visa holders. This practice still continues to this day if you were wondering. Congress gives benefits to big business at the expense of the American worker.

 

[Thales750]

Actuaries are usually realllllly good at their jobs and get paid the big bucks. They calculate what needs to be contributed NOW and over time in order to provide a certain benefit at a later date. Unexpected blips in birth rates that last more than a year or two can create temporary windfalls and shortfalls. The Baby Boom was the largest of the blips we've ever seen. WHILE IT WAS HAPPENING, the actuaries knew full well that the piper would need to be paid but it wasn't until the 80's that the public became aware of the issue. There have been at least three PERMANANT fixes to ensure that there was enough money in the SS "fund" to cover the shortfall (payouts exceeding current income) when the time came. But, none of that money is actually "saved". There is absolutely NO reason that the first fix didn't actually fix the problem. We should never have needed TWO MORE. The actuaries knew the goal and calculated what needed to be collected so what happened? The excess money collected has gone into the general fund since the seventies and that means that the SS payments aren't coming from some lockbox as was envisioned, SS payments come from the general fund and the amount being collected every year from current contributions will no longer cover the payments in a few years. But, if Congress hadn't stolen my money, the excess the IRS collected to cover the projected shortfall should be coming from the lockbox but the lockbox is empty.

The Baby Boomers are now starting to die off. I am at the bleeding edge of the boom which lasted about 10 years. You should all be asking the government if they are planning on reducing current contributions by you youngsters when the blip is gone. The idea of SS was that the population would grow over time so that once the system was flowing, there would "always" be more current contributors than people at the end of the line collecting. The Baby Boom after WWII upset that ratio for a limited period of time and the excess contributions we were all asked to make since the 80's was supposed to stop the problem. Congress stole the money so we are currently in the bubble. All the Baby Boomers should currently be collecting SS and we don't have quite enough current contributors to cover the outflow. How is that my problem? Why are we not docking the pay of the Congress who created the problem?

Extreme over simplification, with the standard propensity to only enumerate the aspects that support your word view.
It "sounds" logical thought doesn't it?

 

[Thales750]

We are also importing STEM workers when we should be hiring our own college graduates. This actual practice started back in the 80's when I was managing teams across the country for a large consulting firm. They would scoop up H1b visas so they could hire cheap foreign labor and then rent them at American wage levels Huge instant profit. Ran to at least $30 per hour per worker. At the time, US people were being paid $25 per hour and the client was paying $80. The US people were also getting benefits so their fully burdened rate was closer to $40 per hour. The H1b's were being paid ~ $10 with NO benefits. And that was 5 times what they were earning at home so they were happy. They were here temporarily and were living 4 to an apartment to save on expenses and sending as much as they could home.

Certainly not illegal but far from fair to American workers especially since the H1b law specifically prohibited undercutting American wages. My company's practice was to place very specific job requirement ads in local papers for $10 per hour. We got no takers so we filled the slots with H1b visa holders. This practice still continues to this day if you were wondering. Congress gives benefits to big business at the expense of the American worker.

Great business plan, you gotta really love and support that unfettered American Capitalism.

 

[Thales750]

It will be painful but it needs to be done. It would have been far better if Congress had never let it get so out of control. Hopefully, Musk and Ramaswamy can work out a reduction cycle that will allow for a more graceful winding down of the departments that need to be cut. Importing tens of millions of illegal aliens has exacerbated the problem. There are way to many (by millions) of low wage workers so there will be no soft landing for most of the government workers.

Cause Stagflation is such a great way to transfer more wealth upward.

Conservative Propaganda and it's best. All hail the incoming King and his intelligentsia minions.

It's coming for you Pat.

 

[Thales750]

And if I may throw in a comment I hope you will find relevant, the way that "liberal education" has worked means we don't have enough S.T.E.M. graduates to fulfill current and projected needs. Which is another reason why we HAVE so many low-wage workers.

I started teaching my daughter math and science at the age of 3. She graduated with an Economics Degree. The Science version, not the Arts one.

Most people just talk the talk. That's one of the main reasons why many of their kids are struggling.

 

[Thales750]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1870899663005499474

Of course he blames him, and your people cheer him on.

Stagflation is coming for you. Who will y'all believe caused that?

Jimmy Carter?

 

[Pat Hartman]

As usual, you bring nothing relevant to the table. You are perfectly welcome to counter with the "complex" version if it makes you feel superior.

 

[AccessBlaster]

Of course he blames him, and your people cheer him on.

Stagflation is coming for you. Who will y'all believe caused that?

Jimmy Carter?

Nah, if he doesn't deliver on his promises heads have to roll. The fish stinks from the head.

I won't blame everyone else like you guys did with Biden.

Biden singlehandedly brought down the democrat party because of WOKE. Woke was the last straw, even die hard democrats couldn't swallow it anymore.

You guys forgot about the working man. To you that sounds like Nazi Propaganda, it's just common sense to Trump.

 

[The_Doc_Man]

Most people just talk the talk.

At least on this forum, we could point to another candidate who talks the talk but doesn't offer much substance. Just empty criticism that comes straight from an opinion.

 

[Thales750]

Nah, if he doesn't deliver on his promises heads have to roll. The fish stinks from the head.

I won't blame everyone else like you guys did with Biden.

Biden singlehandedly brought down the democrat party because of WOKE. Woke was the last straw, even die hard democrats couldn't swallow it anymore.

You guys forgot about the working man. To you that sounds like Nazi Propaganda, it's just common sense to Trump.

Not sure who you guys are. But Trump took credit for all of the wondaful growth that was a direct result of the Obama Administration.
I never blamed anyone during Bidens's term. I for at least 12 years I have been a critic of the democrats propensity to discard their most promising candidates because of ridiculous dog wagging.

You think just because I am super critical of the MAGA horse droppings that I can't see the Dem's dung piles.

Biden singlehanded? I think he has lots of help. If there was a single Biden Root Cause, it was his stupidity in staying in office, after he announced he was not going to run, and that was truly, at least, 18 months overdue.

Again with the Nazi Reference. I get why you harp on that. It's because the Conservative Propaganda Machine, which was copied from the earlier ones developed by Goebbels and Hitler, tells the big lies so often, that conservative brains start to believe it. I don't have a conservative brain, so that method is wasted on me .

 

[AccessBlaster]

I never blamed anyone during Bidens's term.

You mean besides Trump?

 

[AccessBlaster]

Again with the Nazi Reference. I get why you harp on that.

Yeah, you own that. Along with democrat pundits.

 

[AccessBlaster]

I have been a critic of the democrats propensity to discard their most promising candidates because of ridiculous dog wagging.

Like who? Bernie or Hillary?

 

[Thales750]

At least on this forum, we could point to another candidate who talks the talk but doesn't offer much substance. Just empty criticism that comes straight from an opinion.

I was referring to all the folks that are complaining about the ineffectiveness of the American system to educated their children.

Yeah, you own that. Along with democrat pundits.

?

 

[Pat Hartman]

I was referring to all the folks that are complaining about the ineffectiveness of the American system to educated their children.

Oh, It is very effective. We are rapidly descending in world rankings. We have substituted wokeness for education. Our children are being taught all about using the correct pronouns but nothing about useful subjects such as reading and math. And as our children are failing to achieve grade level in ever larger percentages, we reduce the bar. Now, that is a "helpful" solution. It makes the teachers look like they are performing so the teacher's union can maintain power. And just so that no one is bothered by this, we allow abortion on demand and legalize mind numbing drugs to either kill our children that weren't aborted or keep them in a stupor . Then we import new voters who don't speak English, have no skills and who will be a permanent drain on our welfare system.